The standout tie of the round. Lyon at home remain formidable, but Chelsea have closed the gap and this should be genuinely competitive.

Home advantage is the deciding factor, and the hosts should carry enough of a threat to take the points.

Estimated price — the site's odds feed has no market published for this fixture at the time of writing, so this line reflects team strength, home advantage and recent form rather than a traded price. Treat the confidence rating accordingly.