Iceland remain the stronger side despite Luxembourg's steady improvement over the past few cycles. Their physical presence and quality from set pieces give them a clear route to goal against most opponents at this level.

Luxembourg are no longer easy opponents at home and will make it competitive, but Iceland's experience in tight qualifying-style games should tell.

Estimated price — the site's odds feed has no market published for this fixture at the time of writing, so this line reflects team strength and recent form rather than a traded price.