Bulgaria have home advantage and marginally the better squad, though neither side has been convincing. Estonia are well organised but carry very little threat going forward on the road.

Bulgaria's issue has been converting territorial dominance into goals, so this may be a narrow, nervy win rather than a comfortable one. Home advantage should still be enough.

Estimated price — the site's odds feed has no market published for this fixture at the time of writing, so this line reflects team strength and recent form rather than a traded price.