Gibraltar host Sao Tome and Principe in a friendly between two of the lowest-ranked national sides in their respective confederations. Neither team scores heavily, and both have built their recent approach around staying compact rather than chasing goals.

Gibraltar's home record is founded on defensive discipline, and Sao Tome and Principe have limited attacking output on the road. A tight, low-scoring game is the most likely outcome.

Estimated price — no bookmaker market is published for this friendly, so this line reflects both teams' scoring profiles rather than a traded price.