Two evenly matched sides at the lower end of the CONCACAF ladder, which makes the winner hard to call but the goals line more predictable. Defensive organisation is the weakest part of both teams, and League C games at this level rarely finish goalless.

Bahamas have home advantage and should push forward early, while Saint Martin have shown they will commit players forward rather than sit deep. That combination points to a game that opens up.

Estimated price — no bookmaker market is published for this fixture, so this line is derived from the competition's scoring patterns rather than a traded price.