Burnley vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips — Championship

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Championship England 19 Sep 2026 · 5:00 PM

Burnley

Home

Derby County

Away

🎯 Our Pick

BTTS - No

Odds

1.73

Confidence

★ ★ ★ ★ ★

Burnley host Derby County in the Championship (England). Odds aggregated across 18 bookmakers.

MATCH RESULT

Burnley 1.75 51.2% Fav

Draw 3.42 26.2%

Derby County 3.96 22.6%

📊 GOALS MARKETS

Over/Under 1.5

O 1.45 / U 2.52

Over/Under 2.5

O 1.82 (51%) / U 1.91

Over 51% Under 49%

Over/Under 3.5

O 4.72 / U 1.14

Both Teams Score

Yes 1.96 / No 1.73

MARKET ANALYSIS

Burnley enter as commanding favourites — bookmakers assign them 51.2% implied win probability, with Derby County trailing at just 22.6%. Such a margin (28.6%) reflects strong market conviction that this match has a likely winner.

Playing at home, Burnley carry an additional psychological and crowd advantage. The draw (26.2%) is a risk factor, but the market clearly leans towards a decisive result.

Goals market: Balanced at 51% (Over) vs 49% (Under) for the 2.5 line — neither an all-out attacking game nor a defensive slugfest is expected. Goals could go either way. Both Teams to Score is priced at 47% implied (Yes 1.96 / No 1.73 est.) — a clean sheet from one side is plausible.

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