MARKET ANALYSIS

Alex de Minaur are dominant favourites — bookmakers back them with 93.6% implied win probability, pricing Andrea Guerrieri at just 6.4% (15.13). This is a match where the market firmly expects one outcome.

A gap of 87.2% between the two sides is significant in a head-to-head market — it reflects a genuine performance and form differential that 14 bookmakers have priced consistently.